For new products such as DMPA-SC, family planning programs risk overstocks and expiries if actual demand falls short of forecasts; conversely, shortages and stockouts could occur if demand far surpasses forecasts. Overstocks and expiries can lead decision makers to become wary of procuring the product in the future, whereas shortages and stockouts can reduce uptake, limit product expansion, and cause existing users to lose confidence in the system’s ability to consistently provide the product.
This brief provides an overview of key considerations for estimating commodity needs for new product introduction and integration. JSI. 2018.
We strive to build lasting relationships to produce better health outcomes for all.
